Prion disease surveillance monitors the occurrence of prion diseases in the United States, but it also monitors for vCJD and the emergence of other potentially preventable new prion diseases, as well as for rare classic forms of prion diseases that are attributable to surgical or medical procedures. Prion disease surveillance also helps assess the efficacy of ongoing U.S. prevention measures.
CJD has been a NOTIFIABLE CONDITION in Texas since 1998 and was likely under-reported and misdiagnosed for many years. For over 15 years now, Texas has carried out enhanced surveillance (passive and active surveillance) for CJD, including sporadic, genetic/familial, and acquired (iatrogenic and variant) CJD. The success of this program is demonstrated by the identification and confirmation of sporadic (sCJD), genetic/familial (gCJD or fCJD), and variant CJD (vCJD), as well as other human prion diseases cases such as variably protease sensitive prionopathy (VPSPr), fatal familial insomnia (FFI), sporadic fatal insomnia (sFI), and Gerstmann-Sträussler-Scheinker syndrome (GSS). From 2015-2024, Texas reported 375 confirmed, probable and possible cases, which included 346 sCJD, 20 fCJD, 1 FFI, 1 sFI, 2 GSS, and 5 VPSPr cases. Texas also investigates higher priority suspected cases, such as suspected cases in persons <55 years old, as vCJD is rarely found in individuals ≥55 years old, suspected case clusters, suspected iatrogenic cases or exposures, and suspected cases with potential exposures to animal prion diseases, such as chronic wasting disease of deer, elk, moose, and other cervids.
In 2014, Texas had the 4th US variant CJD case; the person was likely exposed to the infectious agent before moving to the United States. A full description of the case can be found at: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/30921 or https://www.cdc.gov/eid/article/21/5/pdfs/14-2017.pdf.
Maheshwari A, Fischer M, Gambetti P, Parker A, Ram A, Soto C, Concha-Marambio L, Cohen Y, Belay ED, Maddox RA, Mead S, Goodman C, Kass JS, Schonberger LB, Hussein HM. Recent US Case of Variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease-Global Implications. Emerg Infect Dis. 2015 May;21(5):750-9. doi:10.3201/eid2105.142017. PubMed PMID: 25897712; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC4412247.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reports a worldwide (including the United States) CJD incidence rate of approximately 1-2 cases per million population per year, and from 2019-2023 the average annual rate in the United States was approximately 5 cases per million population per year in persons 55 years of age or older.
In Texas, the average rate of deaths per million population per year due to CJD over the past 10 years (2015-2024) is 1.3 cases per million population per year. The average rate over two consecutive 5-year periods, 2015-2019 & 2020-2024, are 1.12 & 1.4 (cases per million population per year), respectively. There has been an increase in CJD cases over the past 5-10 years, and this can be attributed to several factors. The population of Texas is increasing but also aging, the availability of the RT-QuIC test (a new, more sensitive ante-mortem CSF test) in 2015, as well as increased awareness of this testing, ability of physicians to order this CSF testing through commercial laboratories that forward specimens to the National Prion Disease Pathology Surveillance Center (NPDPSC) and Mayo Clinic, and confirmatory testing on brain tissue availability at NPDPSC, have all increased the surveillance for human prion diseases and cases in Texas (increased testing, reporting, and antemortem diagnosis of CJD). The intensity of surveillance methods can also influence the reported incidence of CJD, and other prion diseases, and Texas conducts enhanced human prion disease surveillance. CDC also updated their criteria for classifying a CJD case which permitted classification and counting of CJD cases that may not have been previously counted, and this update was implemented in Texas in 2019. The new criteria allowed for combination of a positive RT-QuIC CSF result with neuropsychiatric symptoms and therefore decreased reliance on the presence of specific neurologic symptoms to classify a CJD case. The change in the criteria for classifying a CJD case allows Texas to count cases more accurately.
In 2019, the number of CJD cases and the overall rate of CJD increased to >1.5 cases per million population per year, however, in the majority of cases brain tissue was examined and there were no unusual findings. Also, only four of the 2019 cases were <55 years of age, all of whom had autopsies, and the brain tissue analysis did not reveal any unusual neuropathology. In 2020, the number of CJD cases and the overall rate of CJD decreased from 2019. This may be an influence from the COVID-19 pandemic and decreased seeking of healthcare; however, the rate did not significantly decrease like some other infectious diseases reported to public health. The number of cases that had brain tissue examined also decreased in 2020, and there was a higher number of cases in individuals <55 years of age. In 2020, nine cases were <55 years of age, of which three cases had brain tissue examined and there were no unusual findings, and six cases did not have brain tissue examined. In 2021, the number of CJD cases and overall rate of CJD increased but did not surpass the 2019 case count or rate. The percentage of cases that had brain tissue examined increased from 34% in 2020 to 44% in 2021. There was only one case in 2021 that was <55 years of age, and brain tissue was not examined. In 2022, the number of CJD cases and overall rate of CJD increased to the highest it has been thus far. The percentage of cases that had brain tissue examined decreased from 44% in 2021 to 38% in 2022, and three of the cases were <55 years of age with no unusual neuropathological findings. There were four additional cases in 2022 that were <55 years of age, and brain tissue was not examined. In 2023, the number of CJD cases and overall rate of CJD decreased and was similar to 2018 counts and rates. The percentage of cases that had brain tissue examined was the same between 2022 to 2023 at 38%, however none of these cases were <55 years of age. There were two cases in 2023 that were <55 years of age, and brain tissue was not examined. In 2024, the number of CJD cases and overall rate of CJD increased. The percentage of cases that had brain tissue examined decreased from 38% in 2023 to 33% in 2024, and one of the cases was <55 years of age with no unusual neuropathological findings. There were three additional cases in 2024 that were <55 years of age, and brain tissue was not examined. Decreased confirmation of CJD via brain tissue analysis over the last 5-6 years initially could have been an influence of the COVID-19 pandemic and response, however, increased trust by physicians in RT-QuIC CSF results with less reliance on autopsy results, decreased consent to autopsy by the patient or family, or lack of physician awareness of autopsy availability, or other factors are likely contributing to decreased confirmation of CJD. Also, fluctuations in the rates of rare diseases, data obtained via CJD surveillance systems, and the demographics of cases are expected from year to year. The rate of CJD decreased in 2020 and then increased in 2021 and 2022. In 2023, the rate dropped to a similar rate as 2018 and is now increasing again but has not surpassed the 2022 rate. Small changes in case counts can lead to larger changes in rates, and with increased awareness of CJD, ease of ante-mortem testing that utilizes a better test, and increased surveillance in Texas, including closing gaps in surveillance, an average CJD rate closer to 1.5 cases per million population per year is likely more representative of CJD cases in Texas, and this still falls within the worldwide rate of 1-2 cases per million population per year. There have been efforts to increase autopsy rates, and the rate of cases that have brain tissue analysis will be monitored over time. All other CJD data will continue to be evaluated on an ongoing basis.